Governor -, presidency and parliamentary elections in America
Elections in America
VIEW: Elections in America —Syed Mansoor Hussain
As mentioned above, certain groups vote predictably. But only a few of them
are big enough to make a difference. However in close votes, the smaller
groups can become important. Of these the two most important ones are the
Jewish voters and the immigrants from Castro’s Cuba
Never has there been so much international interest in an American election.
For most of the world, it is the foreign policy of the United States that is
most important, especially since the recent war in Iraq. If it were a worldwide
election, George W Bush would definitely lose. But, as Tip O’Neill, a former
speaker of the US House of Representatives famously observed, “all politics
is local.” This election, like all others before it, will be determined by
local concerns of the American voters. It might seem surprising to many in
Pakistan that there are actually people in the US who oppose Mr Bush and his
policies and that at this time they are almost as many if not more than those that support him.
It might be worthwhile to talk a little bit about the Republican and Democratic
parties. An incomplete summary of the important ideas behind the Republican
Party as it exists today is: less regulations concerning business,
lower taxes, greater role of religion in public life and freedom of
local and state governments to determine policy. As such, the core
constituencies of the party today include the conservative religious
groups (primarily Protestant), those for whom lower taxes and less
control of business practices are important and the remnants of the
segregationists who, under the guise of “states’ rights” want to do
away with federally mandated programmes designed to provide minorities,
especially African Americans an equal opportunity to take advantage of the American system.
Most Democrats on the other hand still believe that government has
an important part to play in providing an even playing field for all
citizens, that regulations are important to control excesses that
business is capable of, that religion though important is a matter
of individual preference, and that taxation is also a means of
providing the poor with support from the rich. As such, the
minorities form the basis of support for the Democratic Party.
In the US, the minorities include Catholics, Jews, African Americans,
Hispanics and recent immigrants from almost anywhere. Muslims of
course are a different matter. Other than the minorities, there
are different single-issue groups like the environmentalists,
abortion rights advocates, labour activists, feminists and
remnants of the old left that normally support the Democratic candidates.
Election for the president is not a general election but an indirect election.
When voting for the president, people are actually voting for ‘electors’
committed to a particular candidate in their own state. Every state is
allotted a number of electoral votes that equals the number of
representatives they send to the US Congress (House of Representatives and the Senate).
The party winning a particular state even by a single gets all its electors.
These electors make up the Electoral College that actually elects the
president of the United States. Therefore, even though the number of
electoral votes for every state reflects its population, the fact
that a candidate can win big in one state but lose many others by a
few votes can lead to defeat even if he gets more votes overall.
It is for this reason that small voting blocs can make a tremendous
difference in a relatively evenly divided state.
As mentioned above, certain groups vote predictably.
But only a few of them are big enough to make a difference.
However in close votes, the smaller groups can become important.
Of these the two most important ones are the Jewish voters and
the immigrants from Castro’s Cuba. As far as the much talked about
Muslim bloc is concerned, of the roughly four to five million
Muslims in the US, about half are African Americans who vote
like others of their background. The rest are equally divided
between those from the Middle East, Africa and South Asia. The
numbers are much too small to have a measurable impact on any
election except in the state of Michigan where Muslims combined
with non-Muslims of Arab descent can indeed make a difference.
Any candidate for president from either major political party
usually wins at least forty percent of the vote. It is the next
ten percent that makes the difference. This election is relatively
unique in modern US political history in that this early in the
election cycle more than ninety percent of the voters have already
made up their mind. So, it is only about five percent of the voters
from among those referred to as ‘undecided’ that will determine
the outcome of this election. Most of the undecided voters are
political independents who do not belong to any political party.
They are often torn between different parts of the agenda that either party espouses.
For instance, some of them might favour unrestricted choice of
abortion but also want lower taxes. Others might oppose the
war in Iraq but at the same time want a strong defence against terrorism.
Then there are those who like President Bush as a
person, but do not agree with his policies.
So, it is over these five percent that the two candidates are going to
fight during the next three months. Here perception is more likely to
determine the result than any particular policy detail. If John Kerry
can convince these voters that they will be better off if he is elected,
then he will win. As far as Iraq and terrorism are concerned, these are
wild cards and could go either way. Any major attack within the US
could increase the support for President Bush. It might equally make
feel people less secure and change their mind about him as an
effective fighter against terrorism. Iraq is a little bit more predictable.
If thing do not settle down in Iraq and US casualties keep mounting up then
that would make President Bush less popular since this war is clearly
identified with him. As far as the rest of the world is concerned, we
can be sure that John Kerry and President Bush are going to differ but
little when it comes to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, anti immigration
policies of the US aimed primarily at Muslims, or the future of Iraq.
The writer, a cardiac surgeon, has practised and taught medicine in the US
Daily Times - All Rights Reserved
Governor -, presidency and parliamentary elections in America |US Election 2004
Politics1 presents our profiles of the White House hopefuls. President Bush,
John Kerry -- plus all the third party and Independent candidates -- you
can find them all here, plus lots of other P2004 resources!!
Cast an informed vote on Election Day - Tuesday, November 2, 2004.
Presidency 2004
Project
Vote Smart: Presidential Election 2004 - This site provided
a great directory of the P2000 candidates -- with basic bio information,
issue survey responses, calendar and links -- and is now doing the
same for P2004.
C-SPAN:
Bush Administration - Information, links and some streaming
video events from one of the nation's leading sources of raw political
television coverage on the current administration. Also be sure to
check out the Road
to the White House section, covering the various Presidential
candidates. Constantly updated.
Ballot
Access News - This respected publication -- founded in 1985
by Libertarian activist Richard Winger -- tracks the attempts of third
party and independent candidates for various offices to secure ballot
access in the 50 states. The site also tracks changes in the law,
court challenges and other interesting tidbits of third party news
you usually won't find elsewhere. Use this page to stay current on
which third party and independent candidates will and won't appear
on your state's general election ballot in November 2004.
Democracy
in Action: P2004 - A great site has lots of detailed information
on all of the leading 2004 Presidential candidates -- plus a large
section devoted to the Bush Administration. Very useful -- although
be patient as the pages take a while to load (but it's worth the wait).
WatchBlog
- This news blog site covering the 2004 Presidential race is divided
into three parallel blog sections: Democrats, Republicans and Third
Parties. The site has multiple editors, with Dems editing the Dem
section, Republicans editing the GOP blog, etc. Fairly new site, but
shows some good potential.
Center
for Public Integrity: Buying of the President 2004 - Lots
of personal and campaign financial information on the various candidates
and their respective campaign committees.
FundRace
2004 - A fun site that summarizes Presidential candidate contributions
-- and ranks the success of the candidates -- under three categories:
grassroots donors (the smallest average contributions), fat cat donors
(the largest average contributions), and devotion (the highest average
of repeat donors). Also a cool "money map" by candidate
of where their money is coming from by state and county ... and more.
PresidentialMatch.com
- Here's a way to pick a candidate based entirely upon the issues.
Interesting, thought provoking, and a lot of fun. It's also rather
informative. Answer the various questions (grouped by topic), click
the button and ... voila ... up pops the stats on which P2004
candidates you agree with the most. The listing of major candidates
will be supplemented with third party nominees later in the election
season. Sponsored by AOL and Time magazine.
Candidate Scorecard
- Not a corporate sponsored site, but another good tool for comparing candidate positions on key issues.
Current Electoral Vote Predictor 2004 - Just like the name says, this site give you an easy to read map -- based on the most recent polling trends in each state -- to show where Bush and Kerry are ahead and the electoral vote totals that will result.
Presidential
Campaign Rhetoric 2004 - Park University Professor and former
journalist Andrew Cline performs detailed analysis of the rhetoric
used in the speeches by President Bush and the various Presidential
candidates. Cline performed a similar task during the 2000 race. Despite
what you might fear (i.e., that it would be a rather dry read), this
can be rather interesting and useful.
Atlas
of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip prepared this very
informative site, which provides historic voting results from the
Presidential general elections of 1860-2000 and the 2000 Presidential
primaries. Covers the vote totals for the major party nominees and
the top 2 or 3 third party nominees in each race. Colorful maps and
graphs, too.
Commission
on Presidential Debates - Established in 1987 by leaders of
the two major parties to ensure that debates remain a permanent part
of every general election, this nonprofit and bipartisan organization
sponsored all the general election debates in 1988, 1992, 1996 and
2000. Their controversial and restrictive participation rules largely
exclude third party candidates (even the major ones) from participating
in these nationally televised debates. One of the groups protesting
these restrictions is DebateThis.org.
US
Department of State: Foreign Press Center - What is the difference
between a caucus and a primary? How do nominating conventions work?
What about the popular vote versus the electoral college vote? If
you need a better understanding of the American Presidential election
process, check out this informative site. The State Department runs
this site to help inform foreign journalists about how the US political
process works.
VicePresidents.com - No one pays much attention to Vice Presidents -- or, at least, they didn't used to -- except for these guys. History, trivia, quotes, bios, and more.
Presidency 2004
Politics1 presents our profiles of the White House hopefuls. President Bush,
John Kerry -- plus all the third party and Independent candidates -- you
can find them all here, plus lots of other P2004 resources!! Cast an
informed vote on Election Day - Tuesday, November 2, 2004.
REPUBLICAN PARTY:
President George W. Bush (Texas) * Presidential Nominee
Vice President Dick Cheney (Wyoming) * Vice Presidential Nomineee
|
DEMOCRATIC PARTY:
US Senator John Kerry (Massachusetts) Presidential Nominee
US Senator John Edwards (North Carolina) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
THIRD PARTY CANDIDATES:
AMERICAN PARTY:
Diane Templin (California) Presidential Nominee
Al Moore (Virginia) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
CONCERNS OF PEOPLE (PROHIBITION) PARTY:
Gene Amondson (Alaska) Presidential Nominee
Leroy Pletten (Michigan) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
CONSTITUTION PARTY:
Michael Peroutka (Maryland) Presidential Nominee
Chuck Baldwin (Florida) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
GREEN PARTY:
David Cobb (California) Presidential Nominee
Pat LaMarche (Maine) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
LIBERTARIAN PARTY:
LMichael Badnarik (Texas) Presidential Nominee
Richard Campagna (Iowa) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
PEACE & FREEDOM PARTY:
Leonard Peltier (Kansas) Presidential Nominee
Janice Jordan (California) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
PERSONAL CHOICE PARTY:
Charles Jay (Indiana) Presidential Nominee
Marilyn Chambers Taylor (California) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
PROHIBITION PARTY:
Earl F. Dodge (Colorado) Presidential Nominee
Howard Lydick (Texas) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
REFORM PARTY / INDEPENDENT:
Ralph Nader (I-Connecticut) Presidential Nominee
Peter M. Camejo (Green-California) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
SOCIALIST PARTY USA:
Walt Brown (Oregon) Presidential Nominee
Mary Alice Herbert (Vermont) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
SOCIALIST EQUALITY PARTY:
Bill Van Auken (New York) Presidential Nominee
Jim Lawrence (Ohio) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
SOCIALIST WORKERS PARTY:
Róger Calero (New York) Presidential Nominee
Arrin Hawkins (New York) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
WORKERS WORLD PARTY:
John Parker (California) Presidential Nominee
Teresa Gutierrez (New York) Vice Presidential Nominee
|
INDEPENDENTS & WRITE-INS:
A.J. Albritton (American Republican Party-Mississippi) *
Sterling Allan (Providential Party-Utah) *
Stanford "Andy" Andress (I-Colorado) *
Joe Bellis (America's Party-Kansas) *
Kenneth M. Bonnell (I-Mississippi) *
Harry Braun (I-Arizona) *
Fred Cook (I-Georgia) *
Eric J. Davis (Michigan) *
Robert DiGiulio (Children's Party-Vermont) *
Bob Dorn (Washington) *
Lonnie D. Frank (I-California) *
John Galt Jr. (I-Pensylvania) *
Jack Grimes (United Fascist Union-Pennsylvania) *
Michael Halpin (I-New York) *
Larry D. Hines (I-Texas) *
Georgia Hough (I-Georgia) *
Keith Judd (I-Massachusetts) *
Darren E. Karr (Party X-Oregon) *
Samuel Keegan (I-Rhode Island) *
Joseph Martyniuk Jr. (I-Illinois) *
David Mevis (I-Mississippi) *
Muadin (E-Democratic Party-Massachusetts) *
Jeffrey Peters (We The People Party-New Hampshire)
Andrew M. Rotramel (I-Texas) *
Joseph "Average Joe" Schriner (I-Ohio) *
Dennis P. Slatton (United America Party-North Carolina) *
Dan Snow (I-Texas) *
Brian B. Springfield (I-Virginia) *
Lawrence Rey Topham (I-Utah) *
Lemuel Tucker (I-Michigan) *
Da Vid (Light Party-California) *
Tom Wells (Family Values Party-Florida) *
A.J. Wildman (I-Virginia) *
NOT RUNNING / OUT OF THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE:
Gerald Daigneau (I-New Hampshire) - Withdrew in 2001
W. Aaron Gregory (I-Pennsylvania) - Withdrew in February 2003
US Senator John McCain (R-Arizona) - Disclaimed Interest in 2003
Jakob Nielsen (USAbility Party-California) - Withdrew in 2002
Andisheh "Andy" Nouraee (I-Georgia) - Disclaimed Interest in 2003
Kurt Weber-Heller (Christian Falangist Party-Pennsylvania) - Withdrew in 2003
James W. Wright (I-Texas) - Withdrew in 2003
Presidency 2004
Politics1 presents our profiles of the White House hopefuls. President Bush,
John Kerry -- plus all the third party and Independent candidates -- you
can find them all here, plus lots of other P2004 resources!! Cast an
informed vote on Election Day - Tuesday, November 2, 2004.
ELECTIONS 2004
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS
…Each state shall appoint, in such manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a number
of electors, equal to the whole number of Senators and Representatives to which the
State may be entitled in the Congress: but no Senator or Representative, or person
holding an office of trust or profit under the United States, shall be appointed an elector.
The electors shall meet in their respective states, and vote by ballot for two persons,
of whom one at least shall not be an inhabitant of the same state with themselves.
And they shall make a list of all the persons voted for, and of the number
of votes for each; which list they shall sign and certify, and transmit sealed to the seat of the government of the United States, directed to the President of the Senate. The President of the Senate shall, in the presence of the Senate and House of Representatives, open all the certificates, and the votes shall then be counted...
(Article II of the U.S. Constitution)
Absentee Voting Overseas - Frequently Asked Questions
GENERAL INFORMATION
* U.S. Elections 2004 - Bureau of International Information Programs/U.S. Department of State
* The Federal Election Commission - In 1975, Congress created the Federal Election
Commission (FEC) to administer and enforce the Federal Election Campaign Act (FECA) - the statute
that governs the financing of federal elections. The duties of the FEC, which is
an independent regulatory agency, are to disclose campaign finance information,
to enforce the provisions of the law such as the limits and prohibitions on
contributions, and to oversee the public funding of Presidential elections.
* Foreign Press Centers/U.S. Department of State - links to sites which provide
information on the election process, candidates, political parties,
election calendar, elections trivia and news coverage
Elections in America |Governor -, presidency and parliamentary elections in America
Governor -, presidency and parliamentary elections in America | US Election 2004
Elections in America |Presidency 2004
Elections in America | Presidency 2004
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